BrandSavant

Gaining Insight From Social Media Data

Influence From The Bottom Up

by Tom Webster on January 25, 2012

I look forward to the yearly release of Edelman’s Trust Barometer – particularly for its global perspective, which helps me provide context for my own international clients. This year’s report is chock full of insights, and some remarkable shifts. Some of the changes from 2011 can be attributed to a bit of a change in the methodology of the research, but (as a researcher myself) I appreciate the transparency in reporting those changes, which I believe make the data richer.

David Armano has a nice piece here on the shift in trust from organizations to individuals which merits a read, but what also struck me was the juxtaposition of two findings in particular:

First, about the only thing that showed an increase in trust was media – and in particular, social media, which showed a rise in trust from 8% to 14%. Again, methodology changes explain some of this, but not all of it, and it is clear from the data that as some of the institutions we have formerly trusted appear to crumble around us, we are, as a society, engaging in a “flight to comfort” by relying more and more on our social networks (online and offline) for our daily inputs.

Second, with the global decline in trust towards most institutions comes an axiomatic rise in skepticism (and, for some, cynicism). Nearly two thirds of those surveyed in the Trust Barometer indicated that they need to hear something at least three times before they believe it – with 28% saying four or five times. Repetition and trust go hand in hand – and, as some other data I have seen corroborates, repetition itself has a hand in creating trust.

These two facts, taken together, illustrate a very powerful concept regarding influence. While the purveyors of online influence measures (Klout, PeerIndex, Kred, et al) focus our attention on top-down measures of influence (the “top 10″ in a given topic is often all you see), we are all influencers, as Tamsen McMahon often says. Identifying “influencers” is merely step one in a more vital process – getting people to do the things you want them to do. Using online influence measures is potentially a useful first step, but it does focus you on “elephant hunting,” and sometimes those elephants net you a little noise, but nothing more.

The Edelman data suggests an alternative approach – the bottom-up approach. Hearing a message from a top-scoring “influencer” might make me read, or retweet a message – but seeing it repeated by five people I actually know, like and/or trust makes it law, regardless of the measured “influence” of those people. And getting the attention of those people, where the noise level is a little lower, is a pretty straightforward process with some time-honored components: sampling, trial, acknowledgement, recognition, reward and testimonial.

I realize I’m not saying anything too earth-shattering here; rather, I am simply suggesting that reframing your thinking about influencer outreach – flipping the funnel, as it were, from top-down elephant hunting to bottom up empowerment – might yield some fresh, new ideas, and get you thinking differently.

Which is my only real goal here at BrandSavant.

Here is the Trust Barometer summary report – well worth your time.

Buffer
  • http://www.businessesGROW.com/blog Mark W Schaefer

    Thanks for the summary and insight.  I have a slightly different perspective (I think). Using Klout influencers IS creating influence from the bottom up. Klout influencers are your friends and neighbors who will pull a lot of weight with you. In my new book I reference research that showed if five of your friends bought the same new phone, it is basically fate at that point — you will buy the same phone. But how do we find those people and put that information in the path of buyers? That is the real power of tapping into this revolution of “Citizen Influencers.” Tamsen is right. And now ALL our voices will be heard and rewarded, too.

  • http://www.edisonresearch.com Tom Webster

    I would challenge one assertion in your comment, Mark, but maybe that’s just because I’m *so stuck* in the last decade :) . Klout influencers are *not* my friends and neighbors. There is a subtle distinction in my post. When I noted that hearing/seeing something from people that you know, like and trust repeatedly builds trust, I meant *actually* know, like and trust. I do know, like and trust you, Mark – we’ve broken bread in real life. The same can’t be said for the vast majority of my “Klout Influencers.” Follow them, yes, and aware of them, I certainly am (like Yoda, I talk. Stop, I will) but they are *not* my friends and neighbors. Very few of my friends and neighbors have thousands of followers on Twitter, write blog posts for publication, and thrive on creating content for people they *don’t* know. And Klout will never, ever find those _actual_ five phone-buying friends and neighbors you talk about – because the true nature of my relationship is opaque to an algorithm, and they are not aggregated and associated with me on any one online platform, and the identity problem ensures they won’t be. It certainly isn’t the top 10 people on Klout’s “Smartphones” topic. And, FWIW, “Smartphones” is listed as one of my topics on Klout. DO NOT take my recommendations on smartphones.

    So while I wholeheartedly agree that “Citizen Influencers” are the key to actually moving me to action (the crux of Tamsen’s point) I don’t think Klout, or any predictive social scoring service can find them. Klout finds outliers like you and me, Mark.

    BTW, I am also listed as a Klout expert on Nausea today. You can look it
    up. :)

  • http://www.businessesGROW.com/blog Mark W Schaefer

    I don’t know if you are stuck in a decade, but I think the difference in our thinking is that you are stuck in “today.”  Without question, Klout can determine influence geographically. Believe it or not, it is also determining influence levels between INDIVIDUAL relationships!  So complex … but they are doing it, although this is not well-known to the public (until my book comes out!)

    Similarly these patterns will be extended to offline behaviors — by relationship.Think of the impact of the Facebook timeline alone. Every time you tweet about a new band, I go buy the record. This is recorded in the timeline. Now patterns emerge that statistically quantify your impact on my purchases.  The brands know that you “get to me” and maybe hundreds of others.  This is not blue sky. This is happening now. It is truly revolutionary.

    Really would like to explore that nausea thing with you. Maybe you are reading my blog too much. In any event, don’t fight it. It could be a whole new career opportunity.

  • http://www.edisonresearch.com Tom Webster

    I have made a career out of avoiding the future, and clearly explicating the present. In the present, over 90% of Americans aren’t tweeting. But you *know* I’ll buy your book, Mark :)

  • Pingback: Online Influence Quote | Brian Barela

Previous post:

Next post: